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Margin of Safety Dashboard
Relay Therapeutics
RLAY
$
9.60
(
-5.1
%)
(
+
-5.1
%)
+
84.2
%
17.68
NASDAQ
Last Price
03/27/26, 09:30 AM
EDT
Margin of Safety
Future Compounder
$
17.68
PORTFOLIO CATEGORY
Modeled fair value
Up to 15%
$4.200 billion
Allocation Suggestion
Modeled fair value
Model Basis
LAST REFINED:
August 18, 2025
The current model INCLUDES the following assets and assumptions:
The current model is based on operating metrics, including:
Zovegalisib (RLY-2608) in CDKi-experienced populations with PI3K-alpha mutant HR+/HER2- breast cancer (phase 3)
The current model EXCLUDES the following assets:
Zovegalisib in CDKi-naïve populations with PI3K-alpha mutant HR+/HER2- breast cancer (phase 1/2)
Zovegalisib in vascular malformations (phase 1/2)
RLY-8161 in NRAS mutant tumors (preclinical)
Fabry disease asset (preclinical)
Lirafugratinib (RLY-4008) commercial royalties in FGFR2 mutant tumors (phase 3, licensed to Elevar Therapeutics)
Research Notes
Gouldy found
...
results out of
...
total research notes
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Relay Therapeutics Flexes MIDD Muscle with Zovegalisib RP3D Data Readout
March 19, 2026
The drug developer revealed data suggesting 400 mg of zovegalisib twice-daily with food performed equivalently to 600 mg twice-daily without food. That removes uncertainty after the last-minute switch, while the reduced pill burden without sacrificing efficacy bolsters the commercial potential in other indications.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (March 13, 2026)
March 14, 2026
I've now deployed $2,500 of my $10,000 goal into Relay Therapeutics ahead of the vascular anomalies data readout in 1H 2026.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (March 12, 2026)
March 12, 2026
I plan to add about $10,000 of principal to my Relay Therapeutics position before the vascular anomalies data readout in 1H 2026.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Relay Therapeutics Thinks Zovegalisib Could Be a $10 Billion Drug
March 3, 2026
Investors can expect at least three data readouts for zovegalisib across three unique indications in 2026. The first is this month.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest Q4 2025: Earnings Preview, JPM Recap
February 8, 2026
This month's digest recaps the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference and previews the upcoming earnings season for Q4 2025.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest December 2025: Record M&A Activity, Ranking Ecosystem Acquisition Potential
December 16, 2025
This month I explore the recent surge in M&A activity, where 2025 ranks from a historical perspective, and evaluate the acquisition potential of the coverage ecosystem.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Readies November Data Update, Strengthens Commercial Brain Trust
November 15, 2025
The former CEOs of Acceleron Pharmaceuticals and Lexicon Pharmaceuticals add deep experience in complex licensing transactions, commercial launches of blockbuster drugs, and acquisitions (hopefully not).
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest Q3 2025: Earnings Preview
October 30, 2025
A look at what to expect when companies report third-quarter 2025 operating results beginning in late October and extending through November.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest October 2025: Position Management During a Melt Up
October 19, 2025
This month I share insights into how I might temporarily downsize or exit Finch Trades positions if the market keeps melting up.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Zovegalisib Data Advantage Builds in Post-CDKi Landscape
August 18, 2025
RLY-2608, now known as zovegalisib, has a clear data advantage in CDK inhibitor-experienced HR+/HER2- breast cancer. Although it won't launch until 2029, the commercial opportunity is characterized by an unusual degree of certainty thanks to the pursuit of a kinase mutation label.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest Q1 2025: Earnings Preview
April 28, 2025
A look at what to expect when companies report first-quarter 2025 operating results beginning in late April and extending through May.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Not So Fasted. Relay Therapeutics Changes RLY-2608 Dose for Pivotal Study
March 3, 2025
Regulators agreed to evaluate a lower dose of RLY-2608 taken with food, instead of a higher dose on an empty stomach, in an upcoming pivotal study.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (January 10, 2025)
January 13, 2025
I previously communicated my intention to deploy my entire Roth IRA contribution to Relay Therapeutics in early 2025. I may have gotten too cute waiting for a better entry point ahead of the JPMorgan Healthcare Conference, but I took advantage of the volatility from Eli Lilly's acquisition of STX-478 to atone my sins.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Is Relay Therapeutics About to Partner Its Breast Cancer Portfolio?
December 15, 2024
RLY-2608 has rare blockbuster potential, but a global partnership might be the best path to realizing it. Pipeline guidance suggests the entire breast cancer portfolio could become a packaged deal in 2025.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (December 10, 2024)
December 10, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of the upcoming safety data readout for the RLY-2608 triplet combination with a CDK inhibitor in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (December 3, 2024)
December 3, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of the upcoming safety data readout for the RLY-2608 triplet combination with a CDK inhibitor in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Member Digest December 2024: The Case for a Strategic Cash Position
December 1, 2024
This month I reveal my lessons from the last market bubble and correction, which influences my current strategy. I also beat you over the head as a reminder to avoid FOMO, remain disciplined, and keep your emotions separated from your money.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (November 20, 2024)
November 21, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of the upcoming safety data readout for the RLY-2608 triplet combination with a CDK inhibitor in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (October 29, 2024)
October 29, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of the upcoming safety data readout for the RLY-2608 triplet combination with a CDK inhibitor in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (September 25, 2024)
September 25, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of upcoming data readouts in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Relay Therapeutics Sets High Bar with RLY-2608. Can STX-478 Clear It?
September 15, 2024
The company's prized asset delivered a no-doubter data readout that crushed prior-gen comparisons, but Scorpion Therapeutics quickly cemented itself as a next-gen competitor.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (September 13, 2024)
September 13, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of upcoming data readouts in late 2024 and lower my cost basis. Here I specifically played the weekend data readout from Scorpion Therapeutics and STX-478.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
An Investor Cheat Sheet for Relay Therapeutics' RLY-2608 Data Readout
September 9, 2024
The precommercial drug developer has scheduled the most important data readout in its history for Monday, September 6 before the market opens. Here's how to interpret the results.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (September 5, 2024)
September 5, 2024
This is my core long-term position. I'm eager to add more shares ahead of upcoming data readouts in late 2024 and lower my cost basis.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Finch Trades: Bought Relay Therapeutics (May 29, 2024)
July 4, 2024
If I could only buy one stock in the next few years, then it might be Relay Therapeutics. The upcoming data readouts in the second half of 2024 won't represent an inflection point for the stock price, but should reflect a busier pace of announcements going forward.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Finch Trades are disclosed on Discord before a research note goes live.
Relay Therapeutics Faces Make-or-Break 2024
January 17, 2024
The drug developer will have three significant data readouts for RLY-4008 and RLY-2608. Unfortunately for impatient investors, they're all slated for the second half of the year.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics ReFocuses on Broader FGFR2 Opportunity
October 12, 2023
The pre-commercial drug developer previously expected to commercialize its lead drug candidate in a rare bile duct cancer ahead of other tumor types, but will now pursue a broader tumor-agnostic approval.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics ReDiscovers Challenges in PI3K
April 19, 2023
The ReDiscover study evaluating RLY-2608 demonstrated industry-leading safety and tolerability, but initial efficacy data spooked investors. Wall Street is assuming the asset risks lagging the competitive landscape when combined with the chemotherapy drug fulvestrant.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Gets a ChatGPT Bump
April 4, 2023
Solt DB Invest previously assigned a significantly higher probability of success (POS) to the pipeline at Relay Therapeutics than the industry average. We're increasing that metric in our modeling, which results in a higher Margin of Safety range
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Post-ESMO 2022 Follow Up
September 12, 2022
(This is where the idea for Open Coverage was born.) More detailed data for RLY-4008 and a new collaboration with Foundation Medicine (Roche) to develop a companion diagnostic for the asset.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Keeps Delivering with RLY-4008
September 8, 2022
This article explores an abstract for a poster and data presentation at the European Society of Medical Oncology (ESMO) Congress 2022.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Pipeline Update
July 1, 2022
Let's circle back around to the Relay Therapeutics pipeline update from June 27.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Relay Therapeutics Quickie
June 26, 2022
Some quick thoughts on an update from Relay Therapeutics about preliminary phase 1 clinical data for RLY-4008 (FGFR2).
By
Maxx Chatsko
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