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Margin of Safety Dashboard
Krystal Biotech
KRYS
$
247.26
(
-1.6
%)
(
+
-1.6
%)
+
-40.0
%
148.28
NASDAQ
Last Price
03/13/26, 09:30 AM
EDT
Margin of Safety
Current Compounder
$
148.28
PORTFOLIO CATEGORY
Modeled fair value
Up to 10%
$4.499 billion
Allocation Suggestion
Modeled fair value
Model Basis
LAST REFINED:
June 18, 2025
The current model INCLUDES the following assets and assumptions:
The current model is based on operating metrics, including:
Component A:
Full-year 2025 revenue of $385.683 million and net income of $155.538 million.
The current model EXCLUDES the following assets:
KB105 in lamellar ichthyosis (phase 1/2)
KB407 in cystic fibrosis (phase 1/2)
KB408 in alpha-1 antitrypsin (A1AT) deficiency (phase 1/2)
KB707 in solid tumors of the lung (phase 1/2)
KB803 in ocular complications of dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB) (phase 3, label expansion for Vjuvek)
KB801 in neurotrophic keratitis (phase 1/2)
Research Notes
Gouldy found
...
results out of
...
total research notes
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Member Digest Q4 2025: Earnings Preview, JPM Recap
February 8, 2026
This month's digest recaps the J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference and previews the upcoming earnings season for Q4 2025.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest December 2025: Record M&A Activity, Ranking Ecosystem Acquisition Potential
December 16, 2025
This month I explore the recent surge in M&A activity, where 2025 ranks from a historical perspective, and evaluate the acquisition potential of the coverage ecosystem.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Member Digest Q3 2025: Earnings Preview
October 30, 2025
A look at what to expect when companies report third-quarter 2025 operating results beginning in late October and extending through November.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Krystal Biotech's R&D Austerity Presents Unique Risk
March 24, 2025
Despite solid cash flow from Vyjuvek, the gene therapy developer is neglecting R&D investments. The potential consequences are being ignored by investors and Wall Street.
By
Maxx Chatsko
The Only Thing That Can Stop Vyjuvek is Vyjuvek
February 29, 2024
A commercially uncompetitive competitive landscape and at-home dosing bodes very well for Vyjuvek, but its efficacy could stall growth from long-term patients – eventually.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek , HSV gene therapy , herpes simplex virus , viral , vector , cystic fibrosis , KB407 , KB408 , Andy Orth ,
Krystal Biotech Gives Peek at Early Vyjuvek Ramp
November 7, 2023
The gene therapy developer received 284 patient start forms by the end of September 2023. Of those, 88% requested at-home dosing.
By
Maxx Chatsko
gene therapy, Vyjuvek, Andy Orth, DEB, RDEB, DDEB, cystic fibrosis, CFTR, genetic medicines, HSV
Risk Management for Krystal Biotech Shareholders
August 22, 2023
I have sold my position in Krystal Biotech. Former CCO Andy Orth is quickly vesting awarded options and liquidating his position, although that only represents the latest red flag for the company.
By
Maxx Chatsko
sell, downgrade
Krystal Biotech Abruptly Loses CCO, Jeopardizing Vyjuvek Launch
August 6, 2023
Krystal Biotech disclosed today in a regulatory filing that Andy Orth stepped down as Chief Commercial Officer (CCO). This is terrible news (with even worse optics) at a terrible time.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy
Krystal Biotech Earns FDA Approval for Vyjuvek
May 18, 2023
The company's first drug approval signals its transition to commercial operations. Vyjuvek is now a drug product and not a drug candidate.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy, approval
Krystal Biotech Needs a Partner
May 7, 2023
The shifting timelines for clinical programs not named Vyjuvek / B-VEC is beginning to hamper the company's long-term ability to create value and live up to its true potential.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy, downgrade
Krystal Biotech Eyes Crow's Feet, but Optics Have Limited Value
April 25, 2023
The gene therapy developer has an aesthetics subsidiary named Jeune Aesthetics. It recently dosed the first patient in the final cohort of an ongoing phase 1 clinical trial for KB301 in lateral canthal lines, or wrinkles on the upper cheek below the eyes, commonly called Crow's feet.
By
Maxx Chatsko
gene therapy, aesthetics, Jeune Aesthetics, KB301, Botox
J.P. Morgan Healthcare Conference Day 1 Quickie
January 8, 2023
Quick updates for Coherus BioSciences, Exact Sciences, Krystal Biotech, and Selecta Biosciences.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Eylea, biosimilar, Cologuard, Vyjuvek, delay, Xork, Astellas, Klinge Biopharma,
What is Krystal Biotech Worth If Vyjuvek Earns Approval?
December 17, 2022
Our model increases significantly if Vyjuvek earns FDA approval in mid-February 2023 – from the current midpoint of $67.55 per share to a prospective midpoint of $108.07 per share ($124.28 per share excluding dilution).
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy
Delays are Piling Up for Krystal Biotech
November 7, 2022
The soon-to-be commercial-scale gene therapy company has struggled to advance any asset aside from its lead drug candidate Vyjuvek. What's going on?
By
Maxx Chatsko
Gene therapy, delay
Krystal Biotech Regulatory Update
August 18, 2022
Krystal Biotech announced on August 18 the FDA accepted its biologics license application (BLA) for Vyjuvek in dystrophic epidermolysis bullosa (DEB). Investors now have three more pieces of information regarding the regulatory pathway.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy
Not an NFT, but Krystal Biotech Can Sell These for Cash
July 6, 2022
Krystal Biotech will earn a priority review voucher (PRV) if Vyjuvek earns FDA approval, which seems very likely. The company can use it to accelerate regulatory review for a future asset, or sell it for over $100 million to another company to do the same.
By
Maxx Chatsko
Vyjuvek, gene therapy
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